Livingston vs Greenock Morton prediction

Livingston have taken 14 points from their last 8, while Greenock Morton have taken 12 points from their last 8. Livingston average 1.6 scored and 1.5 conceded at home, while Greenock Morton average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded away from home. When they last met, Livingston won 4-1 against Greenock Morton. Our model expects Livingston to score about 1.7 and Greenock Morton about 1.1. We expect around 2.8 goals in total, so goals look likely.