Chorley vs Buxton prediction

Chorley have taken 10 points from their last 8, while Buxton have taken 11 points from their last 8. Chorley average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded at home, while Buxton average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded away from home. In their last 2 meetings Chorley won 0, drew 0 and lost 2 to Buxton, with 4.0 goals a game. Our model expects Chorley to score about 1.7 and Buxton about 1.5. We expect around 3.2 goals in total, so goals look likely.